{"id":1483,"date":"2026-03-28T11:47:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T11:47:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ehlendergisi.com\/?p=1483"},"modified":"2026-03-28T11:47:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T11:47:03","slug":"kader-savasi-canakkaleden-hurmuze-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ehlendergisi.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/28\/kader-savasi-canakkaleden-hurmuze-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Kader Sava\u015f\u0131: \u00c7anakkale’den H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’e Mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Kader Sava\u015f\u0131: \u00c7anakkale’den H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’e mi?<\/h1>\n

Dr. Ahmed el-Derzi (Al-Mayadeen)<\/strong><\/p>\n <\/header>\n\n

\n Washington ve Tel Aviv, sava\u015f\u0131n devam etmesinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fc yeni bir “\u00c7anakkale”ye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrebilece\u011fini ve \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin buradan ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini fark ediyor mu? Yoksa Netanyahu’nun emperyalist emelleri ve Trump’\u0131n se\u00e7im hesaplar\u0131, onlar\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015fin hatalar\u0131n\u0131 tekrarlamaya m\u0131 itecek?\n <\/p>\n\n

Bir yanda ABD ve \u0130srail, di\u011fer yanda \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u015fiddeti, Washington’\u0131n enerji altyap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ve elektrik santrallerini tamamen yok etme tehdidini savurmas\u0131ndan saatler \u00f6nce zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131. Ancak Ba\u015fkan Trump, m\u00fczakerelerin ba\u015flamas\u0131 gerek\u00e7esiyle tek tarafl\u0131 olarak be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkes ilan ederek d\u00fcnyay\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131; bu durum Tahran taraf\u0131ndan h\u0131zla yalanland\u0131 ve reddedildi. Bu tablo, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n kaderiyle ilgili temel bir soruyu g\u00fcndeme getiriyor: Sava\u015f devam m\u0131 edecek, yoksa bir ate\u015fkese mi var\u0131lacak?<\/p>\n\n

Sava\u015f\u0131n patlak vermesinin \u00fczerinden neredeyse bir ay ge\u00e7mesine ra\u011fmen, nas\u0131l sona erece\u011fine dair i\u015faretler hala belirsiz. T\u00fcm g\u00f6stergeler bu sava\u015f\u0131n uzun s\u00fcrece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu sadece ge\u00e7ici bir askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma de\u011fil, tarihi yeniden yazan s\u0131f\u0131r toplaml\u0131 varolu\u015fsal bir sava\u015f: \u0130mparatorluklar\u0131n kaderini belirleyen bo\u011fazlar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc sava\u015f\u0131. 1915 \u00c7anakkale’den 2026 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fcne senaryolar tekerr\u00fcr ediyor, ancak bu kez riskler \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck ve taraflar pozisyonlar\u0131na her zamankinden daha s\u0131k\u0131 sar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n

\u00c7anakkale 1915: \u0130ngiliz Donanmas\u0131 Bo\u011faz\u0131 Ge\u00e7emedi\u011finde<\/h3>\n \n

I. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131n zirvesinde \u0130ngiltere, \u00c7anakkale Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 ge\u00e7ip \u0130stanbul’u vurarak Rusya’ya denizden bir yol a\u00e7ma plan\u0131 yapt\u0131. 18 Mart 1915’te sava\u015f tarihinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck deniz harek\u00e2t\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131, ancak z\u0131rhl\u0131lar tespit edilemeyen Osmanl\u0131 may\u0131n hatlar\u0131na \u00e7arpt\u0131. Saatler i\u00e7inde \u00fc\u00e7 z\u0131rhl\u0131 batt\u0131, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc de a\u011f\u0131r hasar ald\u0131 ve \u0130ngiliz filosu geri \u00e7ekilmek zorunda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n \n

Denizdeki bu ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k, M\u00fcttefikleri Gelibolu Yar\u0131madas\u0131’na kara birlikleri \u00e7\u0131karmaya itti (25 Nisan 1915). Ancak zorlu arazi \u015fartlar\u0131 ve Mustafa Kemal \u00f6nderli\u011findeki Osmanl\u0131 direni\u015fi, bu harek\u00e2t\u0131 11 ay s\u00fcren ve 500.000’den fazla \u00f6l\u00fc ve yaral\u0131ya mal olan bir k\u0131y\u0131ma d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc. M\u00fcttefikler Ocak 1916’da yenik bir \u015fekilde geri \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n \n

Al\u0131nan ilk ders \u015fuydu: \u0130ngiltere sava\u015ftan bitkin \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f ve “\u00fczerinde g\u00fcne\u015f batmayan imparatorluk” unvan\u0131n\u0131 kaybetme s\u00fcreci ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f, 1956 S\u00fcvey\u015f Kanal\u0131 Krizi’nde yeni k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7ler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda al\u0131nan yenilgiyle tescillenecekti.<\/p>\n\n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz 2026: \u00c7a\u011f\u0131n Ara\u00e7lar\u0131yla Tarihin Tekerr\u00fcr\u00fc<\/h3>\n \n

Sava\u015f\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinden itibaren (28 \u015eubat 2026), Tahran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n ticari gemi trafi\u011fine kapand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. Bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7en gemi say\u0131s\u0131 bir g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 128’den sadece 2’ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00dcre g\u00fcbresi ve helyum gaz\u0131 bir yana, k\u00fcresel petrol ve do\u011falgaz tedarikinin %20’den fazlas\u0131 tehdit alt\u0131na girdi.<\/p>\n \n

Ancak petrolden daha \u00f6nemlisi k\u00fcresel internet hatlar\u0131yd\u0131. K\u00fcresel internet trafi\u011finin %97’si ve stratejik askeri ileti\u015fimlerin %80’i, en dar noktas\u0131 sadece 33 kilometre olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndan ge\u00e7en denizalt\u0131 kablolar\u0131 \u00fczerinden sa\u011flan\u0131yor. \u0130ran’\u0131n bu kablolar\u0131 devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakma kapasitesi bulunuyor; bu durum k\u00fcresel dijital ekonomiyi fel\u00e7 edebilir ve herkesi etkileyecek bir felakete s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilir.<\/p>\n \n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 a\u00e7mak ve \u0130ran’\u0131n kalan n\u00fckleer stoklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na almak, Irak Sava\u015f\u0131’nda kullan\u0131landan \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck kara birlikleri gerektirebilir. \u0130\u015fte Washington’\u0131n korktu\u011fu “\u00c7anakkale Senaryosu” budur. Zira 150 km uzunlu\u011fundaki bo\u011faz k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131 Gelibolu Yar\u0131madas\u0131’ndan farkl\u0131d\u0131r ve \u00f6denecek bedel katbekat fazla olabilir. \u00dcstelik \u0130ranl\u0131lar, ABD’nin II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131’ndan bu yana kaybetti\u011fi t\u00fcm sava\u015flarda etkili oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlam\u0131\u015f olan “asimetrik sava\u015f” konusunda ciddi bir deneyime sahip.<\/p>\n\n

Varolu\u015fsal Boyut: Bu Sava\u015f Neden Farkl\u0131?<\/h3>\n \n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131 \u00f6ncekilerden ay\u0131ran \u015fey, t\u00fcm taraflar i\u00e7in bir kader sava\u015f\u0131 olmas\u0131d\u0131r:<\/p>\n \n

    \n
  • \u0130ran<\/strong> hayatta kalmak i\u00e7in sava\u015f\u0131yor. Sadece siyasi bir rejim olarak de\u011fil, par\u00e7alanma tehdidi alt\u0131ndaki bir varl\u0131k olarak; yenilgi onun sonu demek. Bu durum, Tahran’\u0131n inan\u0131lmaz direncini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. \u0130ran, “H\u00fcseyin”in \u015fehadet ruhu ile “R\u00fcstem”in kahramanl\u0131k eylemini harmanlayan k\u00f6klerinden besleniyor ve gelece\u011fe “Mehdi”nin umuduyla bak\u0131yor.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130srail<\/strong>, “F\u0131rat’tan Nil’e” uzanan imparatorluk hayalini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in sava\u015f\u0131yor. Sava\u015f onun i\u00e7in mutlak hegemonyas\u0131n\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na alacak \u015fekilde b\u00f6lge haritas\u0131n\u0131 yeniden \u00e7izmek i\u00e7in tarihi bir f\u0131rsat. Buna bir de t\u00fcm siyasi a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bu sava\u015fa yat\u0131ran Netanyahu ekleniyor; ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k onun siyasi sonunu ve \u0130srail’in \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc getirebilir.<\/li>\n
  • Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri<\/strong>, sars\u0131lan prestijini onarmak ve \u00c7in ile Rusya’n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hegemonyas\u0131n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in sava\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak ABD’nin kayb\u0131 varolu\u015fsal de\u011fil, prestij kayb\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Washington yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninde \u00c7in ve Rusya’y\u0131 ortak olarak kabul edebilir.<\/li>\n
  • \u00c7in ve Rusya<\/strong>, Amerika’n\u0131n bu sava\u015fta y\u0131pranmas\u0131na oynuyor. Ama\u00e7lar\u0131: Amerika’y\u0131 Pasifik’teki \u00c7in tehdidine odaklanmak yerine Bat\u0131 Asya batakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda me\u015fgul tutmak ve NATO’nun g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc t\u00fcketmek.<\/li>\n <\/ul>\n \n

    Bu varolu\u015fsal boyut, sava\u015f\u0131 “s\u0131f\u0131r toplaml\u0131” hale getiriyor: Orta yolu bularak sona eremez. Bir taraf\u0131n tam zaferi, di\u011ferinin mutlak yenilgisi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n\n

    Sava\u015f Neden Yak\u0131nda Bitmeyecek?<\/h3>\n \n
      \n
    1. H\u0131zl\u0131 bir askeri \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn imk\u00e2ns\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/strong> \u0130ngiliz donanmas\u0131n\u0131n 1915’te \u00c7anakkale’yi ge\u00e7ememesi gibi, ABD donanmas\u0131 da bug\u00fcn H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’de benzer bir ger\u00e7eklikle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. \u0130ran’\u0131n may\u0131nlar\u0131 ve f\u00fczeleriyle bo\u011faz\u0131 askeri yollarla a\u00e7mak, Washington’\u0131n g\u00f6ze alamayaca\u011f\u0131 bir “kara harek\u00e2t\u0131” gerektirecektir.<\/li>\n
    2. Washington ve Tel Aviv aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7\u0131kar \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131:<\/strong> \u0130srail varolu\u015fsal bir sava\u015f y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, Amerika stratejik bir sava\u015f y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor. Washington y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc kurtaracak bir uzla\u015fmay\u0131 kabul edebilir, ancak \u0130srail tam bir zaferden ba\u015fkas\u0131na raz\u0131 olmayabilir.<\/li>\n
    3. \u0130ran’\u0131n uzun bir sava\u015fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131:<\/strong> Tahran onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r bu an\u0131 bekliyordu. Zaman\u0131n kendi lehine i\u015fledi\u011fini; Amerika’n\u0131n prestij kaybederken, \u0130srail’in varolu\u015fsal kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyor.<\/li>\n <\/ol>\n\n

      \u00c7anakkale’den H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’e: \u0130mparatorluklar Kaderlerini S\u0131n\u0131yor<\/h3>\n \n

      H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131 farkl\u0131 k\u0131lan, tarih boyunca bo\u011faz sava\u015flar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerin kaderini test etmesidir.<\/p>\n \n

      1915’te \u0130ngiliz donanmas\u0131 \u00c7anakkale’den ge\u00e7i\u015fi zorlayamad\u0131 ve sonu\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tarihi hezimet oldu. Bu, \u0130ngiliz \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu’nun bir daha asla toparlanamayaca\u011f\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131yd\u0131. 1956’da \u0130ngiltere S\u00fcvey\u015f’ten \u00e7ekildi ve imparatorlu\u011fu sona erdi. 1980’lerde Washington, K\u00f6rfez’deki tankerlerini koruyamad\u0131 ve prestij kayb\u0131yla bunun bedelini \u00f6dedi.<\/p>\n \n

      Bug\u00fcn sava\u015f H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’nda tekrarlan\u0131yor. Ancak bu kez bedel sadece b\u00f6lgesel bir sava\u015f de\u011fil, bizzat uluslararas\u0131 sistemin gelece\u011fi. Washington ya k\u00fcresel enerji damar\u0131n\u0131 ve dijital ekonominin dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 internet a\u011flar\u0131n\u0131 koruyabilece\u011fini kan\u0131tlayacak ya da binlerce y\u0131ld\u0131r bu sularda batan imparatorluklar gibi kendisinin de \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f d\u00f6nemine girdi\u011fini kabullenecek.<\/p>\n \n

      Geriye \u015fu soru kal\u0131yor: Washington ve Tel Aviv, sava\u015f\u0131n devam etmesinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fc yeni bir “\u00c7anakkale”ye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrebilece\u011fini ve \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin buradan ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini fark ediyor mu? Yoksa Netanyahu’nun emperyalist emelleri ve Trump’\u0131n se\u00e7im hesaplar\u0131, onlar\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015fin hatalar\u0131n\u0131 tekrarlamaya m\u0131 itecek? Unutmamal\u0131 ki imparatorluklar derslerini her zaman i\u015f i\u015ften ge\u00e7tikten sonra al\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n \n

      Bunun cevab\u0131n\u0131 sadece \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar ve aylar verecek. Ancak \u015fu an i\u00e7in kesin olan bir \u015fey var ki, Bat\u0131 Asya b\u00f6lgesi asla \u015eubat 2026 \u00f6ncesine d\u00f6nmeyecek. Sava\u015f b\u00f6lgesel bilinci yeniden \u015fekillendirdi ve Amerikan ya da \u0130srail gibi ge\u00e7 d\u00f6nem imparatorluklar\u0131n\u0131n, tarihi, co\u011frafyas\u0131 ve g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyecek demografik a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan \u00fclkelere iradelerini zorla dayatamayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Kader Sava\u015f\u0131: \u00c7anakkale’den H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’e mi? Dr. Ahmed el-Derzi (Al-Mayadeen) Washington ve Tel Aviv, sava\u015f\u0131n devam etmesinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fc yeni bir “\u00c7anakkale”ye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrebilece\u011fini ve \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin buradan ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini fark ediyor mu? Yoksa Netanyahu’nun emperyalist emelleri ve Trump’\u0131n se\u00e7im hesaplar\u0131, onlar\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015fin hatalar\u0131n\u0131 tekrarlamaya m\u0131 itecek? Bir yanda ABD ve \u0130srail, di\u011fer yanda \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u015fiddeti, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1484,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1483","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-guncel"},"yoast_head":"\nKader Sava\u015f\u0131: \u00c7anakkale'den H\u00fcrm\u00fcz'e Mi? - ehlen<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/ehlendergisi.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/28\/kader-savasi-canakkaleden-hurmuze-mi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kader Sava\u015f\u0131: \u00c7anakkale'den H\u00fcrm\u00fcz'e Mi? - ehlen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kader Sava\u015f\u0131: \u00c7anakkale’den H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’e mi? Dr. Ahmed el-Derzi (Al-Mayadeen) Washington ve Tel Aviv, sava\u015f\u0131n devam etmesinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fc yeni bir “\u00c7anakkale”ye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrebilece\u011fini ve \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin buradan ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini fark ediyor mu? Yoksa Netanyahu’nun emperyalist emelleri ve Trump’\u0131n se\u00e7im hesaplar\u0131, onlar\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015fin hatalar\u0131n\u0131 tekrarlamaya m\u0131 itecek? 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